The Department of Science (IMD) in its weather forecast said that a depression has formed over the southeast and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea which will turn into a cyclone in the next 12 to 16 hours by October morning. 21. It is possible. If this cyclone develops, it will be the second cyclone to form in the Arabian Sea this year. The storm has been named Tej according to the accepted formula for naming cyclones in the Indian Ocean region. According to the IMD, the cyclone is likely to intensify into a more severe cyclonic storm on Sunday. It is likely to strengthen and move towards the south coast of Oman and nearby Yemen.
However, Meteorological Department scientists also continue to warn that sometimes storms may deviate from their forecast and intensity. Because it has also been seen in the case of Cyclone Viparjaya. Cyclone Biparajay formed in the Arabian Sea in June and then deviated from the track and moved north-northwestward. The storm changed its path and reached Mandvi in Gujarat and Karachi in Pakistan. Private forecasting agency Skymet Weather said most models indicate the storm is moving towards the Yemen-Oman coast.
Global Forecast System model forecasts
However, the Global Forecast System model says there is a possibility of a repeat of the cyclone as it is positioned in the deep central part of the Arabian Sea, leading the cyclonic circulation system towards the coast of Pakistan and Gujarat. Cyclone is characterized by its speed of 62 to 88 km per hour. It is the maximum sustained wind speed. Where the maximum wind speed reaches 89-117 km per hour, it is called a strong cyclone.
The IMD has issued a warning
The IMD also said that Cyclone Tej is likely to hit Mumbai in the next 12 to 14 hours. A warning has also been issued in this regard. IMD scientists have issued an alert saying that all fishermen should avoid going near Maharashtra coast and Gujarat coast. It also said that people living in the coastal areas of Gujarat should constantly take weather updates and follow the advice of local officials.